A no-brainer pipeline.
Zero upfront cost to Paul.
Pre-educated, high-intent leads routed exclusively to AskPaul — at no cost, no risk, and no effort beyond an endorsement. Every assumption in this model is editable. Change any number and see the impact instantly.
Every commission rate in this model is set at the floor of the verified Irish market range — life assurance initial is modelled at 100% where the market pays 130–150%, investment trail at 0.25% where 0.5%+ is standard. The 40% lead rate — meaning 40% of net new users request an AskPaul consultation — is the model's most aggressive assumption and the one most worth scrutinising. The justification: MMS users arrive having already completed a pension gap audit, seen their exact shortfall, and explicitly requested a call. They are not cold leads. They are pre-fact-found, high-intent prospects who have self-selected into the funnel. Even so, if the lead rate comes in at 20% instead of 40%, Year 5 revenue halves to approximately €5.4M — still a meaningful addition to AskPaul's book. The most powerful dynamic regardless of lead rate is that trail income compounds automatically: by Year 5, — of annual revenue is recurring trail growing without a single new client. Wave 2 SME clients — each worth — the initial commission of a Wave 1 employee — represent upside beyond the base case, not a requirement for the model to work.
| Product | W1 clients | W2 clients | Net new commission | Recurring / trail | Total this year | MMS share |
|---|
15% of all advisory commissions generated via MMS leads. The primary revenue engine — grows as the AskPaul client book compounds.
Users who don't convert to AskPaul clients within 12 months are offered a paid tier at €9.99/mo — budgeting tools, AI coach, tax tracker. These are power users who value the app independently of advice.
Non-competitive category partners — savings accounts (Raisin, Trade Republic), investing platforms (Trading 212), business banking (Revolut Business). Upfront brand visibility fee plus affiliate revenue per referral.
Initial: 3% of first year annual premium. Verified range 3–7% — we use the floor.
Source: Irish Times citing Central Bank data; OneQuote.ie (CBI reg. 459006)
Trail: 0.5% of fund annually. Standard verified Irish rate.
Source: OneQuote Financial Brokers
Initial: 100% of Year 1 premium. Market rate is 130–150% — we use 100%, conservative.
Source: lifeinsurance.ie; mortgages.ie
Renewal: 3% from Year 2. Verified Irish market rate.
Source: mortgages.ie commission disclosure
Initial: 100% of Year 1 premium. Wave 2 SME clients only.
Source: lion.ie (QFA Nick McGowan)
Renewal: 3% from Year 2. Conservative.
Source: mortgages.ie; Irish Insurance documentation
Initial: 2.5% of lump sum. Market range 3.5–5% — we use 2.5%.
Source: Irish Times (Oct 2025)
Trail: 0.25% of AUM. Broker's verified share of the ~1% total trail.
Source: Irish Times (Oct 2025); BCA Life & Pensions CP116
Broker fee: 0.5% of loan, one-time. Verified range up to 1%.
Source: McGuire Financial (CBI regulated)
Every rate is at the conservative end of its verified range. Actual AskPaul revenues should meet or exceed these projections if the pipeline delivers.
All sources publicly available. CBI-regulated firms only. Figures correct as of 2025.
No customer acquisition cost (CAC): MMS funds its own user acquisition through sponsorship revenue. This model shows AskPaul gross revenue — not net profit. AskPaul has zero upfront cost.
No adviser capacity cost: The model assumes AskPaul has sufficient adviser capacity to handle the lead volume. At Year 5 this is ~3,600 new clients — approximately 24 dedicated advisers at 150 new clients/yr each. Staffing cost is Paul's to model.
Mortgage saturation not modelled: The model assumes a consistent 25% of Wave 1 clients take mortgages each year. In reality this will taper by Y4–Y5 as the existing client base exhausts first-time buyer demand. Impact is modest but worth noting.
Wave 2 is upside, not base case: If the SME module and Revolut Business/LEO distribution channels do not materialise, Year 5 revenue is ~€5.9M not €10.7M. The model shows both scenarios in the Charts tab.
These exclusions are intentional and disclosed. The model is a revenue projection for AskPaul, not a full P&L.